i AM THE GREATEST NFL HANDICAPPERS
Take Redskins -2.5 $25,000
Good Thursday to everyone! Welcome to Week 15's SUCKER BET brought to you by Tootsie Pop! Last week's SUCKER BET was exciting to say the least. Technically the play was a push, bringing my season total to 8-5-1 and 21-7-1 including last season. Hopefully, like myself, many of you got the +8.5 and covered. For those of you who are new to the SUCKER BET, each week I attempt to identify 2 or 3 games where "Joe Public" seem to be heavily supporting one side. I then pick the game where I actually like the other side better. On to this week's pick. Give me the Redskins -2.5 as they host the divsional rival Cowboys. 80% of cappers on Covers, and 68% of cappers on Wagerline are supporting Parcells & Co. The Cowboys offense is very balanced (ranked 14th in both passing and rushing). Likewise, the Redskins defense is balanced as well (12th in passing and rushing). As a matter of fact, statiscally these teams are very silimar. The Redskins biggest strength is running the ball. Dallas can and has been run on, especially in their past 3 games where they given up an average of 144 yards on the groud (almost 40 more yards than their season average). If Washington can get a lead in this game early on, then they may have success in controlling the clock. If I'm Gibbs, then I really focusing on how Larry Johnson exposed the Cowboys rush defense last week as he ran for 143 yards (5.5 ypr) and got in the endzone 3 times. Or I can look at the film og the Cowboys/Broncos game where the Denver running backs average over 7 yards per carry. At home Washington has had some success in stopping the run. With Dallas averaging just 3.4 ypr (WASH 4.2) they might have to depend on Bledsoe to bail them out. That may be difficult however because WASH is ranked 3rd is giving up the least amount of passing TDs. Take a look at their schedule, which is ranked 4th most difficult in the league, they played against some talented passers. This game is the 1st legger of back-to-back HOME games for the Skins. Conversely, this is the 1st legger of back-to-back ROAD games for the Boys. The last time these two teams met was WEEK 2. You may remember the miracle-like comeback from the Skins late in game game as they won outright. The week before (week 1) Dallas had beaten SD without Gates. In week 1, the Skins, as 5.5 point favorites, barely got past the Bears (9-7) in a low scoring game in DC. After the come-from-behind win against the Cowboys, the Redskins hosted SEA and rolled at home agaisnt the Seahawks. Nice 3-0 start to the season. After Dallas lost that come-from-behind game to the Skins, they then traveled to SF and won by a FG (34-31). The Redskins had no trouble with the Niners as they demolished them 52-17. Dallas is 0-2-1 ATS in their last 3 games in which they've been out rushed in all of them. I think it's safe to say they'll get outrushed again this week. As a die-hard Eagles fan, I know these teams well. The first thing that comes to my mind when I think of Dallas is that INT return for a TD on Monday night (I was at that game). Needless to say the Eagles litterally gave that game to Dallas. The first thing I think of when I think of Washington is how they kept Brian Westbrook to just 24 yards rushing on 17 attempts. Westbrook's longest run was for 6 yards. Obviously these 2 coaches are the cream of the crop. However, Dallas is 1-7-0 SU in its last 8 games after being .5 to 3 point favorites. Washington is 6-3-0 ATS in its last 9 home games. There you have it, Skins -2.5, in a rare favorite style SUCKER BET.Good luck to everyone this week. See you next week for Week 16's SUCKER BET, as always brought to you by Toosie Pop!"
Take Seahawks -7 $45,000
Why Seahawks -7 v. Titans
Seattle:
Record: 11-2
Power Rating: 35.4
Ranking: 3
Week 5 Away W 37-31 vs. #23 St. Louis
Week 6 Home W 42-10 vs. #32 Houston
Week 7 Home W 13-10 vs. #10 Dallas
Week 9 Away W 33-19 vs. #26 Arizona
Week 10 Home W 31-16 vs. #23 St. Louis
Week 11 Away W 27-25 vs. #31 San Francisco
Week 12 Home W 24-21 vs. #6 NY Giants
Week 13 Away W 42-0 vs. #18 Philadelphia
Week 14 Home W 41-3 vs. #31 San Francisco
I beleive there is a trend here - lol. Seattle is 7-0 against teams ranked between #23-#32. The Titans are conveniently ranked #29. Seattle according to Mike Greenfield's system is to win this game by 8.9. An important note is that Seattle has put up 40+ the last 2 games. They did go on the road in San Fran and win by just 2 but then again, they have won their last 7 and went on the road in a more hostile Philly environmet in front of a national audience and pounded the shit out of a mcnabb-less Philly team. I beleive Seattle rolls into Tennessee and beats the titans by 10+ but I like the trend here in a basic pick'em.
Why Against Titans
Record: 4-9
Power Rating: 15.7
Ranking: 29
Week 6 Home L 23-31 vs. #4 Cincinnati
Week 7 Away L 10-20 vs. #26 Arizona
Week 8 Home L 25-34 vs. #21 Oakland
Week 9 Away L 14-20 vs. #22 Cleveland
Week 11 Home L 28-31 vs. #5 Jacksonville
Week 12 Home W 33-22 vs. #31 San Francisco
Week 13 Away L 3-35 vs. #1 Indianapolis
Week 14 Home W 13-10 vs. #32 Houston
2/4 of this teams wins come against Houston. The other 2 are at Baltimore and and San Francisco - not the highest of quality teams. Titans have not beat a top 16 team all year and I don't expect them taking down the #3 team in a basic pick'em. The Titans are a hard playing team but they will be outmatched I beleive by a Seattle team on a 7 game win streak and won that has to be in tune to get ready to play in the playoffs and Seattle will go out there with a solid effort and send a message that they continue to be for real.
Quick Recap and Trend Supporting Game:
You have the Seahawks that are 7-0 streak, who have won their last 4 on the road, who are 7-0 against teams ranked worse than #16 in the league (Titans are #29) and who are trying to continue to send a statement that they are for real and will try to play good ball heading into the playofs against a Titan team that has not beaten anyone with a rank above #16 all year and have wins against teams that are of lower quality and have very little to play for compared to the Seahawks in what is a rebuilding year for them.
Take Bengals -8 $55,000
On to: Bengals @ Lions
Why Bengals -2 v. Lions
Record: 10-3
Power Rating: 35.0
Ranking: 4
Week 1 Away W 27-13 vs. #22 Cleveland
Week 2 Home W 37-8 vs. #16 Minnesota
Week 3 Away W 24-7 vs. #11 Chicago
Week 4 Home W 16-10 vs. #32 Houston
Week 5 Away L 20-23 vs. #5 Jacksonville
Week 6 Away W 31-23 vs. #29 Tennessee
Week 7 Home L 13-27 vs. #8 Pittsburgh
Week 8 Home W 21-14 vs. #24 Green Bay
Week 9 Away W 21-9 vs. #20 Baltimore
Week 11 Home L 37-45 vs. #1 Indianapolis
Week 12 Home W 42-29 vs. #20 Baltimore
Week 13 Away W 38-31 vs. #8 Pittsburgh
Week 14 Home W 23-20 vs. #22 Cleveland
The Bengals are 3-0 in their last away games and 5-1 on the season, playing in tough environments like Pitt, Baltimore, Jax (good experience for the team) and Chicago. They now go into a non-intimidating Detroit environment. The Bengals come off a slight let down game against the Browns who seeked revenge for an earlier loss this year. The Bengals come out on top by a field goal but I don't think this happens again as this game shouldn't be too close. The Bengals play for a playoff birth for the first time in 15 years for the franchise. Much rides on this game for them as they desperately want to make the playoffs considering how close they were in previous years. This team will have a better effort after last week and realize that the NFL is any given Sunday and they need to be sure to come out and play and tune up for the Playoffs. Besides, the Bengals are 10-0 against teams ranked 11 or worse in the league.
Detroit Lions
Record: 4-9
Power Rating: 18.0
Ranking: 25
Week 6 Home L 20-21 vs. #12 Carolina
Week 7 Away W 13-10 vs. #22 Cleveland
Week 8 Home L 13-19 vs. #11 Chicago
Week 9 Away L 14-27 vs. #16 Minnesota
Week 10 Home W 29-21 vs. #26 Arizona
Week 11 Away L 7-20 vs. #10 Dallas
Week 12 Home L 7-27 vs. #17 Atlanta
Week 13 Home L 16-21 vs. #16 Minnesota
Week 14 Away L 13-16 vs. #24 Green Bay
The Lions are on a 4 game losing streak, losing to teams that are relatively mediocrea and not the elite in the NFL. Things don't get easier by playing aginast the #4 team by PR (Power rating). The Lions are also 1-4 in their last 5 home games having lost 2 in a row and being 2-6 at home this year. The Lions are 0-7 against teams ranked in the top 16 (Bengals are #4). I think the Lions lose by at least a field goal and am locking this as the 2nd part of the teaser.
Fellow players - It's amazing to me how many players actually bet the NFL with their hearts and emotions. Last weeks thread really stirred up the pot by going against the Colts, Denver & Cincy. For what it's worth all 3 teams won but remember guys we bet ATS not straight up. Anyway I don't think these 2 plays should stir it up this week. BOL TO ALL THIS WEEKEND.
OVER 37 1/2 SAN FRAN/JACKSONVILLE $55000 TO WIN $50000
(Will buy the 1/2 point if I can't find a 37)
OVER 41 1/2 PITTSBURGH/MINNESOTA $55000 TO WIN $50000
This time of year I think there is some value playing Teasers and this weekend is a perfect example of that
I've been doing fairly well lately playing them, but I haven't posted all of them so no point in posting my record. Here's what I'm on this weekend and I'd greatly appreciate your feedback.
2 Team Teasers: $75,000
IND Colts -1.5/SEA Seahawks -1
CAR Panthers -2.5/CIN Bengals -2
IND Colts -1.5/CAR Panthers -2.5
SEA Seahawks -1/CIN Bengals -2
I'm not real sure why I played the same 4 teams in these teasers, but I do think all of these teams have a great shot of covering the "teased" spreads in each of their games.
Good Luck this weekend and let me hear from ya,
I AM ANGELINA JOLIE- FOLLOW ME YOU WILL BE RICH.
:niceass: :niceass: :niceass: :niceass:
:niceback: :niceback:
Take Redskins -2.5 $25,000
Good Thursday to everyone! Welcome to Week 15's SUCKER BET brought to you by Tootsie Pop! Last week's SUCKER BET was exciting to say the least. Technically the play was a push, bringing my season total to 8-5-1 and 21-7-1 including last season. Hopefully, like myself, many of you got the +8.5 and covered. For those of you who are new to the SUCKER BET, each week I attempt to identify 2 or 3 games where "Joe Public" seem to be heavily supporting one side. I then pick the game where I actually like the other side better. On to this week's pick. Give me the Redskins -2.5 as they host the divsional rival Cowboys. 80% of cappers on Covers, and 68% of cappers on Wagerline are supporting Parcells & Co. The Cowboys offense is very balanced (ranked 14th in both passing and rushing). Likewise, the Redskins defense is balanced as well (12th in passing and rushing). As a matter of fact, statiscally these teams are very silimar. The Redskins biggest strength is running the ball. Dallas can and has been run on, especially in their past 3 games where they given up an average of 144 yards on the groud (almost 40 more yards than their season average). If Washington can get a lead in this game early on, then they may have success in controlling the clock. If I'm Gibbs, then I really focusing on how Larry Johnson exposed the Cowboys rush defense last week as he ran for 143 yards (5.5 ypr) and got in the endzone 3 times. Or I can look at the film og the Cowboys/Broncos game where the Denver running backs average over 7 yards per carry. At home Washington has had some success in stopping the run. With Dallas averaging just 3.4 ypr (WASH 4.2) they might have to depend on Bledsoe to bail them out. That may be difficult however because WASH is ranked 3rd is giving up the least amount of passing TDs. Take a look at their schedule, which is ranked 4th most difficult in the league, they played against some talented passers. This game is the 1st legger of back-to-back HOME games for the Skins. Conversely, this is the 1st legger of back-to-back ROAD games for the Boys. The last time these two teams met was WEEK 2. You may remember the miracle-like comeback from the Skins late in game game as they won outright. The week before (week 1) Dallas had beaten SD without Gates. In week 1, the Skins, as 5.5 point favorites, barely got past the Bears (9-7) in a low scoring game in DC. After the come-from-behind win against the Cowboys, the Redskins hosted SEA and rolled at home agaisnt the Seahawks. Nice 3-0 start to the season. After Dallas lost that come-from-behind game to the Skins, they then traveled to SF and won by a FG (34-31). The Redskins had no trouble with the Niners as they demolished them 52-17. Dallas is 0-2-1 ATS in their last 3 games in which they've been out rushed in all of them. I think it's safe to say they'll get outrushed again this week. As a die-hard Eagles fan, I know these teams well. The first thing that comes to my mind when I think of Dallas is that INT return for a TD on Monday night (I was at that game). Needless to say the Eagles litterally gave that game to Dallas. The first thing I think of when I think of Washington is how they kept Brian Westbrook to just 24 yards rushing on 17 attempts. Westbrook's longest run was for 6 yards. Obviously these 2 coaches are the cream of the crop. However, Dallas is 1-7-0 SU in its last 8 games after being .5 to 3 point favorites. Washington is 6-3-0 ATS in its last 9 home games. There you have it, Skins -2.5, in a rare favorite style SUCKER BET.Good luck to everyone this week. See you next week for Week 16's SUCKER BET, as always brought to you by Toosie Pop!"
Take Seahawks -7 $45,000
Why Seahawks -7 v. Titans
Seattle:
Record: 11-2
Power Rating: 35.4
Ranking: 3
Week 5 Away W 37-31 vs. #23 St. Louis
Week 6 Home W 42-10 vs. #32 Houston
Week 7 Home W 13-10 vs. #10 Dallas
Week 9 Away W 33-19 vs. #26 Arizona
Week 10 Home W 31-16 vs. #23 St. Louis
Week 11 Away W 27-25 vs. #31 San Francisco
Week 12 Home W 24-21 vs. #6 NY Giants
Week 13 Away W 42-0 vs. #18 Philadelphia
Week 14 Home W 41-3 vs. #31 San Francisco
I beleive there is a trend here - lol. Seattle is 7-0 against teams ranked between #23-#32. The Titans are conveniently ranked #29. Seattle according to Mike Greenfield's system is to win this game by 8.9. An important note is that Seattle has put up 40+ the last 2 games. They did go on the road in San Fran and win by just 2 but then again, they have won their last 7 and went on the road in a more hostile Philly environmet in front of a national audience and pounded the shit out of a mcnabb-less Philly team. I beleive Seattle rolls into Tennessee and beats the titans by 10+ but I like the trend here in a basic pick'em.
Why Against Titans
Record: 4-9
Power Rating: 15.7
Ranking: 29
Week 6 Home L 23-31 vs. #4 Cincinnati
Week 7 Away L 10-20 vs. #26 Arizona
Week 8 Home L 25-34 vs. #21 Oakland
Week 9 Away L 14-20 vs. #22 Cleveland
Week 11 Home L 28-31 vs. #5 Jacksonville
Week 12 Home W 33-22 vs. #31 San Francisco
Week 13 Away L 3-35 vs. #1 Indianapolis
Week 14 Home W 13-10 vs. #32 Houston
2/4 of this teams wins come against Houston. The other 2 are at Baltimore and and San Francisco - not the highest of quality teams. Titans have not beat a top 16 team all year and I don't expect them taking down the #3 team in a basic pick'em. The Titans are a hard playing team but they will be outmatched I beleive by a Seattle team on a 7 game win streak and won that has to be in tune to get ready to play in the playoffs and Seattle will go out there with a solid effort and send a message that they continue to be for real.
Quick Recap and Trend Supporting Game:
You have the Seahawks that are 7-0 streak, who have won their last 4 on the road, who are 7-0 against teams ranked worse than #16 in the league (Titans are #29) and who are trying to continue to send a statement that they are for real and will try to play good ball heading into the playofs against a Titan team that has not beaten anyone with a rank above #16 all year and have wins against teams that are of lower quality and have very little to play for compared to the Seahawks in what is a rebuilding year for them.
Take Bengals -8 $55,000
On to: Bengals @ Lions
Why Bengals -2 v. Lions
Record: 10-3
Power Rating: 35.0
Ranking: 4
Week 1 Away W 27-13 vs. #22 Cleveland
Week 2 Home W 37-8 vs. #16 Minnesota
Week 3 Away W 24-7 vs. #11 Chicago
Week 4 Home W 16-10 vs. #32 Houston
Week 5 Away L 20-23 vs. #5 Jacksonville
Week 6 Away W 31-23 vs. #29 Tennessee
Week 7 Home L 13-27 vs. #8 Pittsburgh
Week 8 Home W 21-14 vs. #24 Green Bay
Week 9 Away W 21-9 vs. #20 Baltimore
Week 11 Home L 37-45 vs. #1 Indianapolis
Week 12 Home W 42-29 vs. #20 Baltimore
Week 13 Away W 38-31 vs. #8 Pittsburgh
Week 14 Home W 23-20 vs. #22 Cleveland
The Bengals are 3-0 in their last away games and 5-1 on the season, playing in tough environments like Pitt, Baltimore, Jax (good experience for the team) and Chicago. They now go into a non-intimidating Detroit environment. The Bengals come off a slight let down game against the Browns who seeked revenge for an earlier loss this year. The Bengals come out on top by a field goal but I don't think this happens again as this game shouldn't be too close. The Bengals play for a playoff birth for the first time in 15 years for the franchise. Much rides on this game for them as they desperately want to make the playoffs considering how close they were in previous years. This team will have a better effort after last week and realize that the NFL is any given Sunday and they need to be sure to come out and play and tune up for the Playoffs. Besides, the Bengals are 10-0 against teams ranked 11 or worse in the league.
Detroit Lions
Record: 4-9
Power Rating: 18.0
Ranking: 25
Week 6 Home L 20-21 vs. #12 Carolina
Week 7 Away W 13-10 vs. #22 Cleveland
Week 8 Home L 13-19 vs. #11 Chicago
Week 9 Away L 14-27 vs. #16 Minnesota
Week 10 Home W 29-21 vs. #26 Arizona
Week 11 Away L 7-20 vs. #10 Dallas
Week 12 Home L 7-27 vs. #17 Atlanta
Week 13 Home L 16-21 vs. #16 Minnesota
Week 14 Away L 13-16 vs. #24 Green Bay
The Lions are on a 4 game losing streak, losing to teams that are relatively mediocrea and not the elite in the NFL. Things don't get easier by playing aginast the #4 team by PR (Power rating). The Lions are also 1-4 in their last 5 home games having lost 2 in a row and being 2-6 at home this year. The Lions are 0-7 against teams ranked in the top 16 (Bengals are #4). I think the Lions lose by at least a field goal and am locking this as the 2nd part of the teaser.
Fellow players - It's amazing to me how many players actually bet the NFL with their hearts and emotions. Last weeks thread really stirred up the pot by going against the Colts, Denver & Cincy. For what it's worth all 3 teams won but remember guys we bet ATS not straight up. Anyway I don't think these 2 plays should stir it up this week. BOL TO ALL THIS WEEKEND.
OVER 37 1/2 SAN FRAN/JACKSONVILLE $55000 TO WIN $50000
(Will buy the 1/2 point if I can't find a 37)
OVER 41 1/2 PITTSBURGH/MINNESOTA $55000 TO WIN $50000
This time of year I think there is some value playing Teasers and this weekend is a perfect example of that
I've been doing fairly well lately playing them, but I haven't posted all of them so no point in posting my record. Here's what I'm on this weekend and I'd greatly appreciate your feedback.
2 Team Teasers: $75,000
IND Colts -1.5/SEA Seahawks -1
CAR Panthers -2.5/CIN Bengals -2
IND Colts -1.5/CAR Panthers -2.5
SEA Seahawks -1/CIN Bengals -2
I'm not real sure why I played the same 4 teams in these teasers, but I do think all of these teams have a great shot of covering the "teased" spreads in each of their games.
Good Luck this weekend and let me hear from ya,
I AM ANGELINA JOLIE- FOLLOW ME YOU WILL BE RICH.
:niceass: :niceass: :niceass: :niceass:
:niceback: :niceback:
